Full disclosure: I am yet to see Trumbo or The Danish Girl, so sections involving those movies will focus on the awards buzz instead of the performances.
Well it’s about time.
While some don’t completely agree he deserves it, it’s time.
Unfollow your favourite topical meme page because Leo is winning a statue.
It may not be his best performance, or really in his best handful, but a combination of factors which is mostly lack of real competition, means Leo will have to make space on his mantle piece.
Who does this leave us as the perennial loser then?
Bradley Cooper has fallen short a couple of times recently, Amy Adams has done enough to become a loser and Joaquin Phoenix has tried, even if he denies he even knows what the Oscars are.
My hope? Brad Pitt makes another run at an actor win and crashes and burns.
Who else could have been nominated:
Will Smith and his wife staged a protest because he wasn’t nominated (and because of the lack of diversity in the nominees, but really), while Al Pacino and Mark Ruffalo were both nominated for comedy/musical Golden Globes but weren’t really in the frame here.
Christian Bale and Steve Carell were both nominated in that above a category as well, but Bale was downgraded to a supporting actor and Carell was campaigned for in that category too.
Tom Hanks made another excellent movie this year and didn’t get a look in, Tom Hardy played two people in one movie and Johnny Depp stays on the outside after his role in Black Mass.
Who was nominated:
Bryan Cranston for playing Dalton Trumbo in Trumbo
Matt Damon for playing Mark Watney in The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio for playing Hugh Glass in The Revenant
Michael Fassbender for playing Steve Jobs in Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne for playing Lili Elbe/Einar Wegener in The Danish Girl
The nominees:
Bryan Cranston
Why he will win: The dark horse in this race, Cranston is a much loved, award winning figure in Hollywood. He knows how to win over votes and is a hit on the social side of things around the awards season. Could he pull enough votes away out of sheer good will?
Why he wont win: Probably not. DiCaprio likely has a stronger pull of well wishers and Trumbo was a little seen, forgetting movie that hasn’t won anything. Cranston may be everyone’s second choice, but there are no votes for second in this award.
Matt Damon
Why he will win: Damon is the only other nominee to have any serious silverware to show off this season with his Golden Globe win, and DiCaprio aside, he had to carry a film and play off nobody more than anybody else.
Why he wont win: Damon is another contender to take the throne as the win less joke of the Internet, because he isn’t going to win here.
Leonardo DiCaprio
Why he will win: He’s cornered the market in terms of good will and general love from Hollywood this season. DiCaprio is part of a film that is roaring into the final week of the awards season and his performance is at least on par with everyone else.
Why he wont win: Um, maybe people are going to tick the wrong box?
Michael Fassbender
Why he will win: Before the season officially commenced, Fassbender was probably the front runner. He carries Steve Jobs terrifically and is probably the best performance in the category.
Why he wont win: Once awards season began, Steve Jobs took a nosedive in consideration and Fassbender’s chances went with it.
Eddie Redmayne
Why he will win: Redmayne is obviously a recognised award winner and his character certainly makes the biggest transformation of any in this category.
Why he wont win: Only Tom Hanks and Spencer Tracy have won consecutive Best Actor awards and Redmayne doesn’t yet have the accepted brilliance to break into that category. Winning again recently is extremely rare at the Oscars and Redmayne just doesn’t have the power to pull it off.